Republican Ticket Forming, Now Featuring Kirk Dillard
It finally looks like the Republican state ticket is starting to jell. It may not be totally a done deal but by yesterday the jigsaw puzzle started to make some sense. Five points:
1. Ron Gidwitz, who has long been my personal first choice for governor has decided NOT to run-definitely. The reason isn’t that he has no fire in the belly but that the A-List sees someone like him with money and sits on its hands, deciding that Gidwitz can fund everything himself. That has always been a problem with candidates of wealth-as I can testify having been a top assistant to a governor of Minnesota who was blessed (or cursed) with being a mega-multimillionaire. This guy went ahead and funded himself.
He got elected but seeking his second term he found that those who could have poured money into the coffers had once again decided to let him fund himself again. He lost by 91 votes out of a total of 1,250,000 cast and I can testify that he lost because of one thing: when people invest in a candidate, they have an decided interest in his winning. After becoming the best governor in Minnesota history, my candidate went back to his business and became even richer. But I can testify to the sagacity of the decision Ron has made. So number one, Gidwitz is NOT running. I hate to see it because I think he could have been elected with shrewder campaign strategy than he used when he ran for the GOP nomination in 2006…and that he has the kind of tough intellectual grasp of state government that could have enabled him to make a great contribution-even if he served only one term. But I respect his belief that if there are to be no other major contributors, he’s not going to go it alone.
2. The guy who IS running and who has my enthusiastic support is Sen. Kirk Dillard whom I’ve known for twenty or more years, ever since he was chief of staff for Jim Edgar. Kirk is pro-life, pro-2nd amendment and has had a wealth of experience both as an administrator, legislator and brilliant lawyer. I can support him unreservedly. I’m sure we can count on him keeping arm’s length away from Big Jimbo-but then Big Jimbo appears to be, through his Democratic fund-raising, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Democratic machine. The Edgar connection I’m not worried about because Edgar has always been non-toxic to conservatives, unlike Big Jimbo.
3. Ron Gidwitz will be Dillard’s general campaign chairman which means that not only will Kirk have access to funds but will have the enthusiastic support of what remains of the A-List.
4. What happens to the U. S. Senate slot is anybody’s guess. I stick by my original prediction that Mark Kirk will NOT run for anything but reelection to the House. His divorce has been amicable but the money involved with insuperably tight federal restrictions on giving prevents many people who are not super-wealthy from getting into the battle. The word has always been that he and Rahm Emanuel are cohorts (which alone is enough to keep me from endorsing him)-and that with the conceivable future retirement of Judy Biggert, redistricting may open up some favorable possibilities for Mark Kirk. Of course I wouldn’t have voted for him anyhow because of his intransigence on the social issues but I would have to concede that pragmatically the team of the two Kirks-Mark Kirk for Senate and Kirk Dillard for governor would have been attractive.
My personal choice for the U. S. Senate would be Brian Wesbury, the bright young free market economist who won top honors from “The Wall Street Journal” editorial board several years ago for calling the economic figures right on the money. He’s bright, attractive, a gifted speaker who would give Chris Kennedy a fight for his money (literally) and, who knows?, with this latter day dissatisfaction with the Kennedys, might defeat him. A alternative choice would be Rep. Judy Biggert who just might want to take a bite of the big apple to crown her legislative career.
5. Another question remaining is: how to fill the yawning hole for Cook county board president now that Paul Vallas is not running. My suggestion is State Sen. Matt Murphy of Palatine who is young, attractive, tough minded.
6. As long as I’m writing this, I might as well make recommendations for the balance of the Republican state ticket. For Lt. Governor, Kathy Salvi, a young lawyer and mother of six who is excellent on the stump…for AG Rep. Jim Durkin who was an outstanding albeit under-funded candidate for the Senate some years ago…for Treasurer State Sen. Dan Rutherford…for Comptroller (incumbent Dan Hynes is thinking of running for AG but he’s run into serious political trouble with the funeral industry) John Tillman, head of a free market think tank…for secretary of state Eric Wallace who represents a new generation of African Americans in contrast to the lumbering overage Jesse White.
**
Tom Roeser is the Chairman of the Editorial Board of the Chicago Daily Obsever
Editorial Note: Ron Gidwitz is the Chairman of the Board of the Chicago Daily Observer
Can’t say I know anything about the above possibles, and I do try to pay attention. Also, I didn\’t see the word \’conservative\’ in there anywhere. A bunch of incumbents (not a good thing), one \’connected\’ family member. Yawn.
On the subject of Mark Kirk, I think he’s limited himself with his China gaffe. You simply do NOT go to a foreign country and talk trash about your home country to foreign leaders, especially when they are communists. Especially when doing so could possibly cause an international incident, spook already shakey markets, and cause a rapid rise in interest rates in order to get debt buyers(China) back on board.
It does not matter whose president, and what your party ideology is, that’s a line you just don’t cross without politically crippling yourself. If he ever had to go up against a heavy weight political strategist now, they could utterly destroy him in the voter’s mind on that issue alone.
For these reasons, I would anticipate him not moving anywhere for the time being and he better hope that whatever challenger he gets, doesn’t have a good strategist and communication team capable of educating the public as to what could have happened had he been believed by China.
If that is the biggest gaffe Kirk makes, then he would be the most carefully spoken man ever to hold office. What Kirk said was accurate, if painful to the current administration.
We have a set of nitwits running the show now who are paying $200 Million to hold 6 prisoners indefinitely on a pacific island, while claiming that talk show hosts are the real enemy in our country.
Judy Biggert contemplating retirement is a bit of a surprise. She’s been keeping a high profile in the district, as if she is planning for another election. Her Democrat opponent from last November just announced that he is running for the 13th District Democrat nomination, and blasted Judy in his announcement. So, he thinks Judy will seek another term.
If Judy does retire or decides to run for the Sentate, who would be a good candidate for the 13th District? Although DuPage County is thought to be a Republican stronghold, it did go for Obama last year, and the voters elected 3 Democrats to the County Board. It has been several decades since two or more Democrats won seats on the County Board. So, the GOP nominee for Congress has to be someone who is fiscally conservative, but maybe a tiny bit flexible on foreign policy and social issues.
Judy Biggert is definetly not retiring. She has held several teletownhalls and issue townhalls in the district and is reported to have already raised significant campaign cash, after her best first quarter fundraising totals ever. Now that Harper has no one to blame for the current situation but Pelosi and the democrats, I dont see him coming within 10 points again.
http://thehill.com/campaign-2008/dems-go-for-rematch-in-suburban-chicago–harper-vs.-biggert-2009-05-11.html
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